France arrive at Gillette Stadium as the tournament's most complete side — five wins from five, 14 goals scored and only 2 conceded, with Kylian Mbappé level atop the Golden Boot race on 7 and scoring in each of France's last three knockout rounds, including the winner over Paraguay. Their attack is the sharpest in the competition and their defence the meanest-but-one, a combination that has made them look inevitable. Opta's 61.7% and the -175 line frame them as clear favorites, and the panel agrees almost to a man that Les Bleus advance.

Morocco, though, are exactly the kind of opponent this World Cup has taught everyone to fear. The 2022 semifinalists are also unbeaten across five, having drawn 1-1 and edged the Netherlands on penalties in the R32 before a commanding 3-0 dismantling of Canada in the R16. Their defensive organisation and transition threat can smother favorites and take ties deep — the model even favors Under 2.5. Expect France to control possession and strike through Mbappé, but Morocco will make them earn every yard, and a low-scoring 2-0 that Morocco threatens to turn into extra time is the shape of the night.